Take advantage of some of the top economic and strategic research minds in South Africa and get a comprehensive overview of the investible markets of 20 countries across the continent.
We offer in-depth summaries of the policy environments, as well the social, political and business backdrops, to give you unparalleled insights across all asset classes.
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Daily economic commentary
Publicly available research South Africa morning sheet - 3 April 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 2 April 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 1 April 2020 Download content Publicly available research South Africa morning sheet - 31 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 30 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 27 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 26 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 25 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 24 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 23 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 20 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 19 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 18 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 17 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 16 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 13 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 12 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 11 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 10 March 2020
Download content South Africa morning sheet - 9 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 6 March 2020
Download content South Africa morning sheet - 5 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 4 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 3 March 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 2 March 2020 Download content Publicly available research South Africa morning sheet - 28 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 27 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 26 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 25 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 24 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 21 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 20 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 19 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 18 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 17 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 14 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 13 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 12 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 11 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 10 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 07 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 06 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 05 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 04 February 2020 Download content South Africa morning sheet - 03 February 2020 Download content -
Instant insights
Instant insights March Manufacturing PMI: Hobbled by supply chain disruptions - 1 April 2020 Download content Moody’s downgrades to sub-IG; more likely to follow in 2020 - 30 March 2020 Download content Buffeted by multiple shocks, even before COVID-19 - 25 March 2020 Download content MPC unanimously votes for an emergency 100bp rate cut - 19 March 2020 Download content February CPI: Slight upside surprise leaves our call for a rate cut intact -18 March 2020 Download content Business confidence falls sharply in Q1 - 11 March 2020 Download content Faltering economy opens scope for more easing - 03 March 2020 Download content Economy slips into second recession in two years - 03 March 2020 Download content February Manufacturing PMI: Expectations deteriorate as activity weakens further - 02 March 2020 Download content PGM prices strengthened January’s trade balance - 02 March 2020 Download content Big spending cuts need to be negotiated with unions - 26 February 2020 Download content Core CPI surprises with another downside dip - 19 February 2020 Download content Monthly activity data suggest GDP contracted again in Q4 19 - 14 February 2020 Download content SONA 2020: No big new promises, focus on implementation - 14 February 2020 Download content Manufacturing: Output plunges in December as load shedding bites - 11 February 2020 Download content January Manufacturing PMI: Weak start to the year - 03 February 2020 Download content December merchandise trade surplus on lower imports - 31 January 2020 Download content The main budget unexpectedly stays negative - 31 January 2020 Download content As expected CPI jumps on fuel prices - 22 January 2020 Download content Monetary policy: SARB acknowledges weak growth outlook, cuts by 25bp - 16 January 2020 Download content MCP preview: To cut or not to cut? That is the question - 13 January 2020 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Activity levels remained depressed at year-end - 08 January 2020 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Activity levels remained depressed at year-end
Download content What is to become of Eskom? - 11 December 2019 Download content Headline figure disappointing, but there are some positives - 03 December 2019 Download content South Africa November Manufacturing PMI - 02 December 2019 Download content Business sentiment improves but remains downbeat in Q4 - 27 November 2019 Download content Post MTBPS discussion with National Treasury - 25 November 2019 Download content Post MTBPS discussion with National Treasury - 21 November 2019 Download content Downside surprise in headline inflation due to food - 21 November 2019 Download content GDP likely flat-lined on a quarter-on-quarter basis in Q3 - 15 November 2019 Download content November rate decision a finely balanced call - 12 November 2019 Download content Manufacturing output disappoints in September - 8 November 2019 Download content Slightly better but conditions remain contractionary - 1 November 2019 Download content South Africa’s bold statement of the problem, but no answer - 30 October 2019 Download content Big downside surprise in core as housing costs ease - 23 October 2019 Download content Credit market data for Q2 were better than expected – 16 October 2019 Download content South Africa Manufacturing PMI - 02 October 2019 Download content South Africa - Mixed ‘twin deficit’ data in August - 02 October 2019 Download content Postponement of mid-year budget update raises questions - 19 September 2019 Download content MPC votes unanimously to leave the repo rate unchanged - 19 September 2019 Download content Business sentiment plummeted to new lows in Q3 - 11 September 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Activity weakened sharply in August - 02 September 2019 Download content South Africa CPI - Broad-based downside surprise in July - 26 August 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Strong improvement in July may be a one-off - 01 August 2019 Download content Unemployment rate jumps to record high - 30 July 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Expectations deteriorate amid persistently weak activity levels - 1 July 2019 Download content SONA light on Eskom detail – 21 June 2019 Download content CPI: Food prices lift headline inflation slightly higher in May – 19 June 2019 Download content South Africa: Broad-based contraction in Q1 19 GDP – 4 June 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Still showing no strong trend - 3 June 2019 Download content Consumer confidence ticked up in Q2 - 29 May 2019 Download content April CPI: VAT-related base effects pull headline inflation lower - 22 May 2019 Download content Sizeable contraction likely in Q1 GDP print - 16 May 2019 Download content March mining and manufacturing data better than expected - 09 May 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI improved slightly in April - 02 May 2019 Download content Two latest polls have quite divergent results - 30 April 2019 Download content Main budget deficit wider than expected in 2019 budget - 30 April Download content March CPI: Headline inflation lower than expected on housing costs - 17 April 2019 Download content February retail sales: Stronger than expected but still weak - 17 April 2019 Download content Consumer credit: Signs of tightening credit market conditions - 11 April 2019 Download content Mining and manufacturing data point to weak Q1 19 growth - 11 April 2019 Download content Sovereign credit rating: Moody’s still holding on to Baa3 Stable outlook rating - 2 April 2019 Download content February CPI: Both headline and core inflation prints as expected - 20 March 2019 Download content Consumer supports growth in Q4 but investment remains weak - 5 March 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Business activity weakens but expectations remain firm - 1 March 2019 Download content 2019 Budget: Broadly convincing budget, despite wider budget deficits - 20 February 2019 Download content Manufacturing output had another solid quarter in Q4 18 - 12 February 2019 Download content SONA 2019: Strong in tone and goals, short on detail - 8 February 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Activity remains hesitant but expectations improve - 1 February 2019 Download content Merchandise trade: Big December surplus due to import compression - 31 January 2019 Download content December CPI: Another downside surprise in core inflation - 23 January 2019 Download content November retail sales get a Black Friday cheer - 16 January 2019 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Moderately stronger activity at year-end - 9 January 2019 Download content A November surplus and a smaller October deficit - 28 December 2018 Download content Consumer credit arrears picked up in Q3 18 - 21 December 2018 Download content Good start to Q4 with strong mining and manufacturing output - 11 December 2018 Download content More moderation in wage gains as job losses continued in Q3 - 11 December 2018 Download content Q3 18 Current Account: Deficit widened marginally to 3.5% of GDP - 6 December 2018 Download content Manufacturing PMI: Strong bounce in November but activity levels remain weak - 3 December 2018 Download content October CPI: Another downside surprise in core CPI - 21 November 2018 Download content Recession could be revised away - 8 November 2018 Download content -
Quarterly perspectives
Quarterly Perspectives South African Quarterly Perspectives Q1 20 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q4 19 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q3 19 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q2 19 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q1 19 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q4 18 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q3 18 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q2 18 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q1 18 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q4 17 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q3 17 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q2 17 Download content South African Quarterly Perspectives Q1 17 Download content -
In-depth commentary
In-depth commentary South Africa: From recession to full COVID lockdown - 24 March 2020 Download content South Africa 2020 Budget: Will the unions play ball? - 27 February 2020 Download content South Africa 2020 Budget Preview: Fiscal gain requires fiscal pain – 20 February 2020 Download content South Africa: Gloom in the manufacturing sector - 18 September 2019 Download content South Africa MPC Preview: We believe on hold… for now - 16 September 2019 Download content South Africa: Exchange rate is key to macro outlook - 05 September 2019 Download content South African consumer: Not much relief from the credit cycle - 12 August 2019 Download content South Africa monetary policy: SARB cuts now, but in no hurry for more - 18 July 2019 Download content South African monetary policy: The SARB has some scope to cut - 12 July 2019 Download content South Africa: Labour markets are not working - 01 July 2019 Download content South Africa Q2 19 Manufacturing Sector Survey: Slumping demand - morose manufacturers - 20 June 2019 Download content South Africa monetary policy: Changing our repo rate call: one cut - 31 May 2019 Download content South Africa MPC preview: No change in the repo rate this week - 20 May 2019 Download content South African politics: Key questions once elections are done - 29 April 2019 Download content South Africa monetary policy: SARB MPC adopts dovish tone - 28 March 2019 Download content South Africa monetary policy: SARB likely to leave rates on hold - 26 March 2019 Download content South Africa Q1 19 manufacturing sector survey: Continued downbeat sentiment - 19 March Download content South Africa 2019 Budget: Deficits wider but broadly convincing - 21 February 2019 Download content South Africa 2019 Budget: Little room to tighten much further - 08 February 2019 Download content SA monetary policy: Unanimous hold as oil prices slashed - 17 January 2019 Download content South Africa Q4 Manufacturing Sector Survey: Sentiment better, but still gloomy - 06 December 2018 Download content South Africa: Manufacturing PMI shows a weak start to Q4 - 01 November 2018
Download content South Africa inflation: MTBPS likely to leave fiscal policy on hold - 14 October 2018 Download content South Africa inflation: Consumer at an inflection point - 26 September 2018
Download content South Africa inflation: Why the SARB will not hike anytime soon - 17 September 2018
Download content South Africa inflation: Some sticky and tricky CPI components - 6 September 2018 Download content South Africa manufacturing sector survey: Sentiment falls as demand slumps - 20 June 2018 Download content South African trade flows: Opportunities and obstacles - 04 June 2018 Download content South African consumer: Constrained but not in a crisis - 01 June 2018 Download content South Africa: More upside risk equals firmer resolve to hold - 24 May 2018 Download content South Africa sovereign credit ratings: Moody’s leaves rating at Baa3, as expected - 26 March 2018
Download content South Africa: Spotlight on the MPC. Finely balanced; we think on hold - 23 March 2018 Download content South Africa’s manufacturing sector: Sentiment up, especially about the future - 23 March 2018 Download content South African fiscal sustainability: The problem of public sector pay - 13 March 2018 Download content South Africa 2018 Budget: Tepid consolidation despite VAT hike - 22 February 2018 Download content South Africa 2018 Budget: Fixing the fiscus - 9 February 2018 Download content South Africa sovereign credit ratings: Moody’s downgrade still likely - 30 January 2018 Download content South African Monetary Policy A 5:1 vote for hold; upside risks remain - 18 January 2018 Download content South Africa: ANC election still too close to call - 8 December 2017 Download content South African monetary policy: MPC votes unanimously for "hold" - 23 November 2017 Download content South Africa’s manufacturing sector: A glimmer of hope in export prospects - 12 November 2017
Download content South Africa’s mid-year budget update: No plan but rather a call to action - 25 October 2017
Download content South Africa’s mid-year budget update: Fiscal policy at the rubicon - 17 October 2017
Download content South Africa: SARB October Monetary Policy Review: SARB explains (almost) everything - 6 October 2017 Download content -
Presentation
Presentation South African Outlook: Ramaphoria fades to hard realism as recession bites - Oct 2018
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